Monday, August 25, 2014

Ebola - New outbreak, and updated graph

New ebola outbreak in DRC(Democratic Republic of Congo) confirmed. It is very new, so it is unclear which strain this is; given that it is in the DRC, both Ebola Zaire and Ebola Sudan are likely suspects. Other reports claim that as many as 13 have died in the DRC outbreak.

It should be noted that this outbreak is almost certainly unrelated to the West African ebola outbreak which "officials" claim is a different strain. I believe that much can be well stated.

In editorial commentary concerning the West African ebola outbreak this author claims that "ebola debates turn everyone into an expert." The author--perhaps correctly--pens that everyone with an opinion about what to do with experimental drug therapies is an instant expert on "clinical trials, drug pipelines, investigational medicines, and ethics." This may be spot on, but I don't follow the sociology behind the outbreak so I simply do not know. It is a good, quick read.

Meanwhile, I whipped up a graph that I have extended to 1 Sept. concerning the West African ebola outbreak.

I have taken a tiny liberty in extending the figures to 1 Sept., but given what is likely to be the true numbers of cases and deaths, I think that--if anything--an upward revision will be required at some point. It's pretty crude as I did it on my phone at breakfast.
I hope that I am wrong.

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