Sunday, January 25, 2004

I am breaking my promise of 'No political entries until after the primary," which is Tuesday for us New Hampshirites. I think Kerry is going to sew this thing up if he continues to poll like the below versus Bush.

From Reuters, via Newsweek:

Newsweek National Poll Puts Kerry Over Bush

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A new national poll by Newsweek magazine showed on Sunday the surging Democratic Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts topping President Bush in an election matchup.

The poll, conducted Jan. 22-23, showed Kerry commanding 30 percent of support from registered Democrats, up from 11 percent two weeks ago. And for first time in the poll's history a Democrat enjoyed a marginal advantage over Bush, with Kerry garnering a 3-point lead over the president, Newsweek said.

Forty-nine percent of registered voters chose Kerry, compared to 46 percent favoring Bush.

Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean, the Democratic front-runner until his dismal third-place showing in last week's Iowa caucuses, saw his support among registered and likely Democratic voters cut in half, to 12 percent.

That put Dean in a three-way tie for second place in Tuesday's New Hampshire primary with retired Gen. Wesley Clark, 12 percent, and U.S. Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, with 13 percent.

Bush saw his approval rating drop among registered voters to 50 percent versus 44 percent who disapprove, despite his having delivered a State of the Union address last Tuesday.

And more people said they were dissatisfied, 52 percent, than satisfied, 43 percent, with the way things were going in the United States, the poll said.

The Princeton Survey Research Associates poll interviewed 1,006 adults by telephone. The margin of error was plus or minus 3 percentage points.


L I N K

I'm not surprised at all by this. Kerry does have weaknesses, but compared to Bush they seem hardly worthy of note.

By the way, I won't be voting for Kerry on Tuesday. I do agree with his current stand on most issues, and one can hardly fault a non-scientist for their votes on the Iraq war issue. The administration laid out a pretty convincing case for the non-scientist.

I think he'll make a strong candidate.

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On edit: This is particularly interesting since Bush just delivered his SOTU address in the past week. This typically gives the resident of the oval office a short term bounce. I suppose that it may have, in which case the margin will grow larger in a very short time. I guess people aren't buying his particular brand of bs any longer.

OH YEAH!

Thanks to the almost 3000 visitors to the site over the past month, and thanks for all the words of encouragement. THANKS!!

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