Sunday, August 17, 2014

Stupid 911 tricks, and Ebola Outbreak confirmed as worser and worser

Dammitalltahell! I am receiving a new shiny new street address due to some weird 911 non-compliance issue. I have had this address for thirty years. 911 has been mistakenly called from my humble abode, and the local constabulary was here in perhaps two minutes. The error was due to a one-time calling issue wherein the party being caleed had "911" within the sequence of her phone number. So, I have to notify everyone on the planet that our fair municipality has left me with this albatross. Much profanity has been issued from my mouth, and no doubt ore will be forthcoming.

In real sciency news the West African ebola outbreak is far worse than expected. I have posted about this very likelihood a few times. Time for another blockquote!
"Staff at the outbreak sites see evidence that the numbers of reported cases and deaths vastly underestimate the magnitude of the outbreak."

Canada offers up to 1,000 Ebola vaccines Husband: Ebola victim 'getting stronger' How Ebola got out of control Ebola claimed many lives in this family Dr. Gupta: Why we shouldn't fear Ebola Though the United Nations agency did not provide an estimate of unreported cases, it said it's teaming up with the affected countries to gather more intelligence from the ground.

"WHO is mapping the outbreak, in great detail, to pinpoint areas of ongoing transmission and locate treatment facilities and supplies," the statement said.

It's also working with other agencies, including the World Food Program, to feed about 1 million people quarantined in villages in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

"Our team are not in direct contact with Ebola quarantine and treatment centers," said Fabienne Pompey, spokeswoman for World Food Program. "We deliver food to the medical staff and they are in charge of the distribution."

As experts scramble to contain the outbreak, health officials are considering the use of experimental treatments and vaccines, since no proven ones exist.
The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the outbreak could last another six months. Leave it to the business press to not sugar coat issues. I think that WSJ stinks as a source for editorial comment, but the entire business press is the least likely to don the rose colored glasses before penning an article.

Beware of statements made by non-ebola experts. I have read everything I can about ebola since circa 1980, and I only trust a few sources for straight talk about ebola. United States Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases(USAMRIID)has been at the forefront of ebola research, and some members of the CDC have like experience. Although it is likely that there a members of the World Health Organization(WHO) that have expertise in ebola, I don't use the WHO as a source for ebola data save for counting numbers.

One odd thing is that during the US ebola episode involving crab eating monkeys imported from Asia it was confirmed that "Ebola Reston" was transmissible via the aerosol route. This is NOT the same as airborne transmission.

Here's the latest dope. The situation in Reston, VA was admittedly odd as large numbers of simians were packed together in cages, but when a health worker and/or family member is caring for a person stricken with ebola similar proximities are established.

I will wrap this up as I need to go for a run.

What really needs to be established--and this has been explored since 1976 with only limited success--is finding and controlling the host species in nature in which ebola circulates. The natural reservoirs need to be fleshed out so that humans are at least alerted to the possibility that this or that critter in the forset could be a vector.

Here is an interesting look at a possible means for the current devastating outbreak. Dead it. It is speculative, but raises really important questions.

Off to abuse my cardiovascular system.

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